Election Prediction!, Debate Me, You Know I'm Right ^_^ |
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 Aug 31 2004, 07:42 PM
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#1
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 Dark Lord of McCandless  Group: Member Posts: 2,226 Joined: May 2004 Member No: 16,761  |
I'll update as more things happen
SOLID DEMOCRAT: 194 Electoral Votes | 16 States (15+DC) Maine (4) New Hampshire (4) Vermont (3) Massachusetts (12) Rhode Island (4) Connecticut (7) New York (31) New Jersey (15) Delaware (3) Maryland (10) Illinois (21) Washington (11) Oregon (7) California (55) District of Columbia (3) Hawaii (4) LEAN DEMOCRAT: 65 Electoral Votes | 6 States Pennsylvania (21) Michigan (17) Minnesota (10) Iowa (7) New Mexico (5) West Virginia (5) TOSSUP: 30 Electoral Votes | 3 States Wisconsin (10) Missouri (11) Alabama (9) LEAN REPUBLICAN: 67 Electoral Votes | 5 States Florida (27) Ohio (20) Arkansas (6) Colorado (9) Nevada (5) SOLID REPUBLICAN: 182 Electoral Votes | 21 States Virginia (13) North Carolina (15) South Carolina (8) Indiana (11) Kentucky (8) Tennessee (11) Georgia (15) Mississippi (6) Louisiana (9) North Dakota (3) South Dakota (3) Nebraska (5) Kansas (6) Oklahoma (7) Texas (34) Montana (3) Wyoming (3) Idaho (4) Utah (5) Arizona (10) Alaska (3) TOTAL LIKELY DEMOCRATIC: 259 Electoral Votes | 22 States (21+DC) TOTAL LIKELY REPUBLICAN: 249 Electoral Votes | 26 States TOTAL IN CLOSE CONTEST: 30 Electoral Votes | 3 States My Opinion: Trim the Bush, Flush the John, Stop the War! Michael Badnarik for US President 2004. |
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| *kryogenix* |
Aug 31 2004, 07:53 PM
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#2
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i agree with most, maybe put ohio in tossup though. i haven't been keeping up with this stuff lately though
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| *Fallen_Fairy* |
Aug 31 2004, 07:54 PM
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#3
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VOTE BUSH
I really hope bush wins yes i don't agree on his war ethics but I so totally respect him for not shifting his opinion when he wasn't supported unlike kerry who can't seem to decide what he wants |
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Aug 31 2004, 07:54 PM
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#4
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You guys are dumb. Group: Member Posts: 1,252 Joined: Jun 2004 Member No: 25,094 |
The U.S has the worst system ever. We should just go by popular votes.
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Aug 31 2004, 08:00 PM
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#5
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Senior Member Group: Member Posts: 259 Joined: Aug 2004 Member No: 42,793 |
It's so pathetic that there isn't even one candidate who is actually worthy of the presidency.
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Aug 31 2004, 08:07 PM
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#6
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 BANNED Group: Member Posts: 2,419 Joined: Apr 2004 Member No: 14,387 |
QUOTE(gerundio @ Aug 31 2004, 6:00 PM) It's so pathetic that there isn't even one candidate who is actually worthy of the presidency. I agree. But I think Bush will win. I heard Nader's numbers are climbing, which means that can affect the Democratic percentage. |
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Aug 31 2004, 08:34 PM
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#7
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Dark Lord of McCandless Group: Member Posts: 2,226 Joined: May 2004 Member No: 16,761 |
The Libertarian Michael Badnarik is polling higher than Ralph Nader is ... third parties are more likely to affect Bush than Kerry this time around.
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Aug 31 2004, 09:07 PM
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#8
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BANNED Group: Member Posts: 2,419 Joined: Apr 2004 Member No: 14,387 |
QUOTE(ComradeRed @ Aug 31 2004, 6:34 PM) The Libertarian Michael Badnarik is polling higher than Ralph Nader is ... third parties are more likely to affect Bush than Kerry this time around. How would that be though? I would think it would be vice versa. |
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Aug 31 2004, 09:13 PM
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#9
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Dark Lord of McCandless Group: Member Posts: 2,226 Joined: May 2004 Member No: 16,761 |
A lot of Republicans are PISSED at George spending so much money.
If you remember, in 1992 Ross Perot the third party guy got 19% of the vote (compared to Nader getting 2.5%) -- that 19% came directly from Bush Sr and gave the election to Clinton. |
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Sep 1 2004, 09:20 AM
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#10
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 Bardic Nation Group: Member Posts: 1,113 Joined: Aug 2004 Member No: 38,059 |
actually that sounds about right.
Bush is a candidate worthy of presidency. |
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| *CrackedRearView* |
Sep 1 2004, 08:48 PM
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#11
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QUOTE My Opinion: Trim the Bush, Flush the John, Stop the War! Michael Badnarik for US President 2004. LMAO!  Always a comedic touch to Minda's posts. 
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Sep 3 2004, 03:27 PM
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#12
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Dark Lord of McCandless Group: Member Posts: 2,226 Joined: May 2004 Member No: 16,761 |
NEW: BUSH HAS MISSED THE BALLOT DEADLINE IN ALABAMA.
Bush will have to run on a write-in ballot in Alabama. This makes him unlikely to win by a huge margin like he did in 2000. This moves Alabama to the tossup category. West Virginia's legislature is working at changing the ballot access laws, but if that doesn't work, West Virginia will lean to Kerry now. TOTAL CHANGES: Alabama: Solid Bush TO Tossup West Virginia: Tossup TO Lean Kerry Bush: -9 Kerry: +5 |
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Sep 3 2004, 04:48 PM
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#13
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 LunchboxXx Group: Member Posts: 1,789 Joined: May 2004 Member No: 16,810 |
QUOTE My Opinion: Trim the Bush, Flush the John, Stop the War! Michael Badnarik for US President 2004. that would be my philosophy, but i've never heard of a third party doing anything but taking votes, let alone winning. than again i've only lived through 3 presidents. |
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Sep 3 2004, 04:56 PM
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#14
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Dark Lord of McCandless Group: Member Posts: 2,226 Joined: May 2004 Member No: 16,761 |
Recent Third Parties
1992: Ross Perot -- 19% of the vote 1996: Ross Perot -- 10% of the vote 2000: Ralph Nader -- 3% of the vote The point for a third party is NOT to win -- it is to convince one of the two MAJOR parties to adopt some of its ideas -- just look at how the PRogressive Party deeply influenced the Democrats. |
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