Bush vs. Kerry: who will win?, you're opinions Options

[oOyunieOo]

I personally think it will be a tight race, but I'm not sure America would want to change Presidents in the middle of a war, so I go Bush.

[ComradeRed]

Think about what would happen if something like 9-11 occured [God forbid] while Kerry ran? Bush was so calm...he handled it very well I believe. Kerry would of gone on about peace, which is good and all, and how we shouldn't have any military action. We'd be dead by the time he got to his point. Basically what I am saying is that the country doesn't need a president like Kerry while we are dealing with the situation of Iraq. Maybe when everything is resolved....POSSIBLY Kerry can win. But even if we didn't have this whole war situation, Bush would win. Look what he's done for the country Minda PERFECTLY laid out why. You should go past to his post and read it.

You can argue that Bush is a better president, that's fine, but this is Minda, and I firmly believe that Kerry will win. Here's why:

1) Third Party Vote: In some states, the Libertarian and Constitution parties are polling as high as 4 and 5%... this is even higher than Nader did in 2000. What Nader did to Gore in 2000, Badnarik and Petrouka will do to Bush now. Many conservatives (Republicans) have already abandoned the Bush camp, because Bush IS NOT A CONSERVATIVE. In 1992, Bush's dad lost precisely because all the Conservatives voted for Ross Perot. This is what will happen again. The Libertarian Party especially. The LP is twice the size of the Green Party, and Badnarik is popular among many state organizations in the key battlegrounds of Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. Many conservatives in those states regard Bush and Kerry as equally bad (un-conservative), and thus will see that voting for either of them is throwing away their vote.

2) War: The Iraq War used to be popular, but now it's not. It's increasingly becoming a quagmire. Some Congressmen have even proposed a draft. Drafts are NEVER popular in America, and one TODAY is going to be even less popular. Even though Kerry supports the draft, people are going to instinctively vote against the war to vote against the draft, and that means against Bush. Bush's approval is in the mid-40s and dropping... this is almost as bad as Jimmy Carter, and Carter was annihilated in a landslide in 1980 by Ronald Reagan.

3) Jobs: Face it. I think outsoucring is good for the economy. But most steel workers don't. If they vote for Kerry, that could turn the key state of Ohio. If Bush loses Ohio, he loses the election.

4) Credibility: Bush might run as an honest, homegrown Southerner, but the fact remains that he broke just about all of his campaign promises. He promised to slash spending. He actually raised social spending more than ANY OTHER PRESIDENT IN AMERICAN HISTORY. He promised a more humble foreign policy. He invaded Iraq, leading to the death of hundreds of American soldiers and untold tens of thousands of Iraqi civilians and human rights atrocities. He promised a balanced budget. We now have a bigger deficit than ever. Read point 1. All the far-right conservatives hate him for all of this.

I think Kerry will not be a good president. I despise Kerry. I despise Bush too, but not as much. But in the end, I think that it is clear that Kerry will win the election.

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT...2004/mock04.php
Go there, and vote in the mock election. Good fun.